Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000725 0.000830 0.000941 0.001067 0.001206 0.001354 0.001524
2025-01-26 0.000572 0.000719 0.000886 0.001088 0.001325 0.001590 0.001911
2025-02-02 0.000492 0.000659 0.000857 0.001106 0.001409 0.001761 0.002198
2025-02-09 0.000414 0.000588 0.000804 0.001087 0.001442 0.001868 0.002411
2025-02-16 0.000353 0.000530 0.000758 0.001067 0.001466 0.001957 0.002597
2025-02-23 0.000315 0.000497 0.000741 0.001079 0.001528 0.002091 0.002840
2025-03-02 0.000282 0.000467 0.000721 0.001085 0.001579 0.002211 0.003066
2025-03-09 0.000243 0.000423 0.000679 0.001057 0.001582 0.002266 0.003208
2025-03-16 0.000209 0.000383 0.000640 0.001028 0.001579 0.002313 0.003337
2025-03-23 0.000187 0.000359 0.000621 0.001026 0.001612 0.002405 0.003528
2025-03-30 0.000168 0.000337 0.000603 0.001024 0.001644 0.002496 0.003717
2025-04-06 0.000149 0.000313 0.000579 0.001010 0.001658 0.002561 0.003871
2025-04-13 0.000129 0.000287 0.000551 0.000989 0.001661 0.002612 0.004011
2025-04-20 0.000120 0.000278 0.000549 0.001009 0.001726 0.002752 0.004276
2025-04-27 0.000111 0.000269 0.000546 0.001026 0.001785 0.002884 0.004532
2025-05-04 0.000098 0.000249 0.000523 0.001008 0.001790 0.002938 0.004679
2025-05-11 0.000085 0.000229 0.000499 0.000989 0.001791 0.002985 0.004815
2025-05-18 0.000079 0.000221 0.000495 0.001001 0.001841 0.003104 0.005058
2025-05-25 0.000072 0.000211 0.000487 0.001006 0.001881 0.003210 0.005282
2025-06-01 0.000062 0.000193 0.000462 0.000980 0.001867 0.003234 0.005386
2025-06-08 0.000053 0.000176 0.000437 0.000952 0.001850 0.003251 0.005480
2025-06-15 0.000048 0.000167 0.000427 0.000950 0.001875 0.003332 0.005671
2025-06-22 0.000043 0.000158 0.000417 0.000948 0.001900 0.003414 0.005863